Film, Opinion, TV

Oscars 2019 Predictions

It’s that time of the year again. When the local cinema becomes my second home as I make a desperate attempt to watch all the Oscar nominated films in time for the award ceremony.

In this post I will go through each category and predict a) which film I want to win and b) which film I think will win. Here goes:

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

CHRISTIAN BALE – Vice
RAMI MALEK – Bohemian Rhapsody

If someone can explain the decision on whether Viggo Mortensen or Mahershala Ali would be lead actor in Green Book that’d be great as I still cannot separate them. Having said that, to portray such a well-loved figure as Freddie Mercury and THEN pull off his vocal performances, Rami Malek should be taking this home. If the panel want to avoid the Bryan Singer furore they’ll likely go for the safe option of Bale who nailed Dick Cheney.

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

MAHERSHALA ALI – Green Book
ADAM DRIVER – BlacKkKlansman                                                                                              RICHARD E. GRANT – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Since watching him in Girls, I’ve been entranced by most of Adam Driver’s performances and it seems a distant hope for him to win. That’s mainly down to the competition here including Ali whose career has also taken off after sterling performances in another TV show; House of Cards. He’s also sublime in Green Book.

Despite Chris O’Dowd being initially chosen for the role, I simply cannot see any other actor portray Jack Hock than Richard E.Grant. He plays the part with such zeel, I rooted for him even though he kills Israel’s cat and trashes her flat. There’s the obvious Withnail comparisons to make yet this is far more tragic with a final laugh given when he asks Israel to leave him some dignity in her depiction while he’s on death’s door. Finally, after his heartwarming social media appearances wouldn’t it be great to see him performing an acceptance speech?

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

OLIVIA COLMAN – The Favourite

I enjoyed McCarthy, endured Aparicio (sorry, I really didn’t enjoy Roma), and was enthralled by Gaga. Yet if Colman isn’t doing another deliciously humble acceptance speech there’s something wrong with the world. If only for that clip of her shouting ‘Look at me, LOOK AT ME, HOW DARE YOU’, which makes me giggle every time I see it.

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

AMY ADAMS – Vice
EMMA STONE – The Favourite
RACHEL WEISZ – The Favourite

Despite my overarching crush on Emma Stone, Weisz just edged out her performance. Shoutout to Adams who also nailed Lynne Cheney.

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE

Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse wasn’t just my favourite animated film, it was probably one of my favourite films of the year. Every frame had something to catch your eye from the use of vivid colour and the trippy comic book effects that had me spellbound. The dialogue is equally sharp and each character brings something to the table.

CINEMATOGRAPHY

COLD WAR – Łukasz Żal
THE FAVOURITE – Robbie Ryan
ROMA – Alfonso Cuarón

I have it on good authority that when Arctic Monkeys played Sheffield Alex Turner ventured to the nearest independent cinema to watch Cold War. That’s enough of a reason for it to remain on my list of films to watch. Roma was more easily accessible and even if I failed to enjoy the film on my sofa, the cinematography is easy on the eye so I could not argue if this won. For a Netflix film this probably says something about the advances of subscription services that a film we’ve watched at home on our widescreen TVs should be nominated for an Oscar for cinematography. If the Oscars stick to tradition I can see this being another for The Favourite

COSTUME DESIGN

THE BALLAD OF BUSTER SCRUGGS
THE FAVOURITE

A Netflix film that I did enjoy was The Ballad of Buster Scruggs and the attention to detail was there to be enjoyed. Again, I have an inkling that The Favourite will live up to it’s title AGAIN.

DIRECTING

BLACKKKLANSMAN – Spike Lee
THE FAVOURITE – Yorgos Lanthimos
VICE – Adam McKay

This is arguably the hardest category for me to call. After The Big Short translated the financial crash of 2008 into a hard-hitting, entertaining film I was again impressed that McKay could take down Dick Cheney and still humanise one of the most destructive figures in 21st century politics. Then there’s Spike Lee who takes the KKK down to a laughing stock. THEN there’s Lanthimos who takes the premise of a period drama and almost makes it cool.

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

FREE SOLO

Another film on the list is Free Solo and having heard it featured on Kermode and Mayo’s brilliant Film Review podcast I will make an effort to see if it lives up to the hype.

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)

BLACK SHEEP
END GAME
LIFEBOAT
A NIGHT AT THE GARDEN
PERIOD. END OF SENTENCE

Pfft, haven’t seen any of them so I’m opting out of this one.

FILM EDITING

BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY – John Ottman
GREEN BOOK – Patrick J. Don Vito

Best judged by the films during which I failed to check my watch. That narrows the list down to two; Green Book which has it’s own pre-ordained finish so I knew it would end with Christmas. However, as a huge fan of Queen I knew the film would climax on THAT Live Aid performance. Understanding what needed to be done behind the scenes to salvage the film edges out the decision for me.

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

ROMA – Mexico
SHOPLIFTERS – Japan

Shoplifters is another film on the list and given I failed to see the hype in Roma means that I can still see it edged out.

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS – Jenny Shircore, Marc Pilcher and Jessica Brooks
VICE – Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe and Patricia Dehaney

Godamn. Margot Robbie looks close to unrecognisible as the smallpox-ridden Queen Elizabeth I but close to ridiculous too. That I bought into Bale as Cheney says so much about the transformation he undertook that I’d love to see the award go that way.

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

BLACK PANTHER – Ludwig Goransson
IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK – Nicholas Britell
MARY POPPINS RETURNS – Marc Shaiman

Having seen Hamilton two weeks before Mary Poppins Returns I still cannot understand why they didn’t just leave the songs to Lin-Manuel Miranda. After walking out of the cinema, the songs had already left my head. The Black Panther OST is effortlessly cool as you’d expect when you give the reins to Kendrick Lemar. However, for a film centred around the vibrant sounds on the streets I’d give this to If Beale Street Could Talk simply for the showcasing of how putting on a vinyl record can change the mood in a room.

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

THE PLACE WHERE LOST THINGS GO – from Mary Poppins Returns; Music by Marc Shaiman; Lyric by Scott Wittman and Marc Shaiman
SHALLOW – from A Star Is Born; Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando and Andrew Wyatt

Nope. I still can’t remember any of the Mary Poppins songs. Plus an original Lady Gaga song is in the running having been produced by Mark Ronson, just give them the award.

BEST PICTURE

BLACK PANTHER
BLACKKKLANSMAN
BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
THE FAVOURITE
GREEN BOOK

Agh. As much as I would love to see Black Panther grab the award I’d be surprised if they plumped for a ‘superhero’ film, even if it is undeniably brilliant. Blackkklansman would likely be a controversial choice as would Bohemian Rhapsody for the Singer controversy which leaves The Favourite and Green Book battling it out. If either won I’d be happy, another for The Favourite I reckon.

PRODUCTION DESIGN

BLACK PANTHER – Hannah Beachler; Jay Hart
THE FAVOURITE – Fiona Crombie; Alice Felton

Now, if Black Panther was a controversial choice for Best Picture it’s nod for Production Design should not be that remarkable. Whether that be Shuri’s wildly futuristic workshop or M’Baku’s wooden rustic greeting room, the film excelled in showcasing the wonders of Wakanda. Sigh, I wouldn’t be surprised if The Favourite won either.

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

ANIMAL BEHAVIOUR
BAO
LATE AFTERNOON
ONE SMALL STEP
WEEKENDS

See DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

DETAINMENT
FAUVE
MARGUERITE
MOTHER
SKIN

See above

SOUND EDITING

BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
FIRST MAN

At times during First Man I thought I was sat next to Ryan Gosling during each flight. Then again, the sound in Bohemian Rhapsody is also suitably superb.

SOUND MIXING

BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
FIRST MAN

That NASA co-operated with First Man over authentic sounds of spacecraft and Mission Control to successfully replicate the experience edges this again for me.

VISUAL EFFECTS

AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR
FIRST MAN
READY PLAYER ONE

Having read Ready Player One it was gratifying that Spielberg had managed to pull the vision from the pages and out of my head onto the big screen. The climatic battle at the end is a masterpiece yet this is another toss-up. To choose between CG Thanos and NASA’s trip to the Moon, I’ll likely plump for the former.

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

BLACKKKLANSMAN – Written by Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee
CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME? – Screenplay by Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty

That Spike Lee has only won an honorary Oscar in 2016 means I desperately want him to take this one home. The film rolls along with such balance between intent and playfulness that makes it feel all the more remarkable that it actually happened.  If for some ridiculous reason Lee doesn’t get the Oscar he deserves I can see this going to Can You Ever Forgive Me?

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

ROMA – Written by Alfonso Cuarón
VICE – Written by Adam McKay

I’ll be honest. I’m never quite sure where the definition of ‘original’ comes from. Does it mean a screenplay pulled from real events or imaginary ones? If the latter then Roma looks a shoo-in yet I’d want to see Vice take it.

Feel free to let me know your thoughts.

Standard
Film

Oscar Predictions. My personal preferences.

It is awards season and tonight is the big one, The Oscars. Being such an American event I am afraid to admit that I have never actually watched the ceremony the whole way through. I could blame the time difference, the tired showing-off on the red carpet, the kiss-up reporters and the celebrityism but unlike The Superbowl it isn’t on terrestrial TV here.

Now I’m no film buff, I try to catch a flick at the cinema every week and I have a list of films that I need to see  (this weekend I finally watched Singin’ In The Rain and Wolf Creek). I can’t say I’m an expert in cinematography or direction but, like everyone, I have an opinion and these are my predictions based on the films that I have seen. This is not a list which is based on which performances I THINK will win but which performances I HOPE are awarded. Feel free to disagree/agree in the comments section.

NB – I did this two years ago in an office sweepstake and finished in the bottom three but having wildly different opinions than industry types is not necessarily a bad thing is it.

 

BEST PICTURE

“12 Years a Slave”
“American Hustle”
“Captain Phillips”
“Dallas Buyers Club”
“Gravity”
“Her”
“Nebraska”
“Philomena”
“The Wolf of Wall Street”

There are some great films in that list but the one I enjoyed the most was Wall Street. Not just because of the performances, having read the book I had such high expectations for it then it blew me away.

 

BEST DIRECTOR

David O. Russell, “American Hustle”
Alfonso Cuaron, “Gravity”
Alexander Payne, “Nebraska”
Steve McQueen, “12 Years a Slave”
Martin Scorsese, “The Wolf of Wall Street”

Yesyes, I’m aware what a superb job Cuaron did in such difficult circumstances with basically a green screen to work with. However, McQueen runs such a tight ship and you can see in such long, arduous shots that it takes a genius to squeeze that out of a crew and cast.

 

BEST ACTOR

Christian Bale, “American Hustle”
Bruce Dern, “Nebraska”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Wolf of Wall Street”
Chiwetel Ejiofor, “12 Years a Slave”
Matthew McConaughey, “Dallas Buyers Club”

Poor Christian Bale, he remains one of my favourite actors and I thought he was sensational in Hustle. Then they stick him against three top runners and you forget how good a performance it is. Anticipating the chin-strokers at the Academy Ejiofor will probably get this. However, DiCaprio fully deserves an Oscar and it’s a travesty he hasn’t got one, yet. His performance in Wall Street is gargantuan; tragic, laugh out loud funny and ferociously delivered. Knowing the Academy they’ll probably give it to McConaughey, the bastards.

 

BEST ACTRESS

Amy Adams, “American Hustle”
Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine”
Sandra Bullock, “Gravity”
Judi Dench, “Philomena”
Meryl Streep, “August: Osage County”

I’m still surprised that Adams hadn’t caught pneumonia by the end of the shoot so I was pleased she could deliver her lines without chattering teeth. Having said that, Sandra Bullock negotiated 15% of the box office earnings for Gravity so she must have known she’d put in a top notch performance, which she did.

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

“American Hustle” – Written by Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell
“Blue Jasmine” – Written by Woody Allen
“Her” – Written by Spike Jonze
“Nebraska” – Written by Bob Nelson
“Dallas Buyers Club” – Written by Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack

Having only seen only 2/5 films in this category my prediction isn’t exactly fair on the three I haven’t seen. Never mind. Give it to Hustle for sheer audacity.

 

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

“Before Midnight” – Written by Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke
“Captain Phillips” – Screenplay by Billy Ray
“Philomena” – Screenplay by Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope
“12 Years a Slave” – Screenplay by John Ridley
“The Wolf of Wall Street” – Screenplay by Terence Winter

Having read the book I thought Wall Street looked largely how I imagined it, arguably even more ridiculous. I was saddened that Scorcese didn’t stick the boot into bankers and capitalism yet that’s not being awarded here is it.

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Lupita Nyong’o, “12 Years a Slave”
Jennifer Lawrence, “American Hustle”
June Squibb, “Nebraska”
Julia Roberts, “August: Osage County”
Sally Hawkins, “Blue Jasmine”

I’m not entirely sure why Jennifer Lawrence is nominated here for what is pretty much an overshadowed but amusing performance. Nyong’o delivered a painful delivery but for anyone who has seen Nebraska they will be praying that June Squibb gets the nod. Given the best lines in the entire film she had me in stitches with her vicious, occasionally deadpan delivery. Plus, seeing her deal with her ridiculous husband in the film I’d love to see her in a state of shock accepting the award.

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Barkhad Abdi, “Captain Phillips”
Bradley Cooper, “American Hustle”
Michael Fassbender, “12 Years a Slave”
Jonah Hill, “The Wolf of Wall Street”
Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”

By now I really should have seen Captain Phillips and Dallas Buyers Club but alas, that’s the situation I find myself in. Until now I never really rated Jonah Hill as an actor but alongside Di Caprio he stands up and delivers in a funny, energetic performance.

 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

“The Grandmaster”
“Gravity”
“Inside Llewyn Davis”
“Nebraska”
“Prisoners”

Either the warm glow of Inside Llewyn Davis or the bleakness of Nebraska would be a deserved winner. Then Gravity turned up and ruined it for everyone. No brainer for me.

 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Michael Wilkinson, “American Hustle”
William Chang Suk Ping, “The Grandmaster”
Catherine Martin, “The Great Gatsby”
Michael O’Connor, “The Invisible Woman”
Patricia Norris, “12 Years a Slave”

While Hustle stayed true to it’s 70s sensibilities I spent more time wondering how cold Amy Adams was than actually paying attention to the film. Poor girl. While it was such a disappointing, overblown, over-hashed film I thought the costumes were slick enough in Gatsby to give the nod.

 

BEST FILM EDITING

“American Hustle” Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten
“Captain Phillips” Christopher Rouse
“Dallas Buyers Club” John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa
“Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger
“12 Years a Slave” Joe Walker

I’ll be honest, I’m not quite sure how you award this so I’ll put it bluntly. In a scale of 1-10, 10 being ‘arse numbing, losing the will to live after an hour’ and 1 being ‘tight’, I thought 12 Years kept me engaged.

 

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

“The Broken Circle Breakdown” Belgium
“The Great Beauty” Italy
“The Hunt” Denmark
“The Missing Picture” Cambodia
“Omar” Palestine

Omar, duh. I want to hear my name read out.

 

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

“Dallas Buyers Club” Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews
“Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa” Stephen Prouty
“The Lone Ranger” Joel Harlow and Gloria Pasqua-Casny

Hang on. Where’s Gatsby and Hustle? Is this a joke?

 
BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Alone Yet Not Alone” from “Alone Yet Not Alone”
Music by Bruce Broughton; Lyric by Dennis Spiegel

“Happy” from “Despicable Me 2”
Music and Lyric by Pharrell Williams

“Let It Go” from “Frozen”
Music and Lyric by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez

“The Moon Song” from “Her”
Music by Karen O; Lyric by Karen O and Spike Jonze

“Ordinary Love” from “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”
Music by Paul Hewson, Dave Evans, Adam Clayton and Larry Mullen; Lyric by Paul Hewson

If The Moon Song wins does Karen O get to pick it up? If so, GIVE HER THE DAMN AWARD. Wouldn’t mind seeing Pharrell Williams’ silly hat though.

 
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
“American Hustle”
Production Design: Judy Becker; Set Decoration: Heather Loeffler

“Gravity”
Production Design: Andy Nicholson; Set Decoration: Rosie Goodwin and Joanne Woollard

“The Great Gatsby”
Production Design: Catherine Martin; Set Decoration: Beverley Dunn

“Her”
Production Design: K.K. Barrett; Set Decoration: Gene Serdena

“12 Years a Slave”
Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Alice Baker

Gatsby. Partly because I accidentally walked onto the set in Sydney overlooking Darling Harbour. Looked very well designed to me.

 

BEST SOUND EDITING

“All Is Lost” Steve Boeddeker and Richard Hymns
“Captain Phillips” Oliver Tarney
“Gravity” Glenn Freemantle
“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug” Brent Burge
“Lone Survivor” Wylie Stateman

Best sound editing? Right. Well. You shouldn’t really get to hear much in space should you so I’ll give it The Hobbit.

 

BEST SOUND MIXING

“Captain Phillips” Chris Burdon, Mark Taylor, Mike Prestwood Smith and Chris Munro
“Gravity” Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead and Chris Munro
“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug” Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick and Tony Johnson
“Inside Llewyn Davis” Skip Lievsay, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland
“Lone Survivor” Andy Koyama, Beau Borders and David Brownlow

Best. Sound. Mixing. That’s a category is it? Guess they do this one early because everyone has found their seat huh. Soddit, let’s give The Hobbit another one. (I really don’t know how you can tell the difference)

 

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

“Gravity” Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk and Neil Corbould
“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug” Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and Eric Reynolds
“Iron Man 3” Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Erik Nash and Dan Sudick
“The Lone Ranger” Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams and John Frazier
“Star Trek Into Darkness” Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann and Burt Dalton

Ahahahahaha. Seriously. Why are the others even bothering turning up? The Hobbit had dwarves and a dragon, Iron Man 3 had a few CGI bots, Lone Ranger had… a horse on a platform? Star Trek looked good. Then again, Gravity WAS ENTIRELY IN SPACE. C’mon now.

Standard